Hi, At the APNIC 21 Open policy meeting held last week the Policy SIG chairs were requested to facilitate a discussion and the chairs to seek consensus on the future of the proposal of 'Application of HD ratio to IPv4' in APNIC. Here are some comments from the discussion: - It was suggested that if this proposal was adopted in any region, it could have significant negative impacts on IPv4 address consumption. It was noted that the LACNIC community is very concerned about this issue. - It was noted that a recent analysis of the potential impact of this policy, which looked at the past 5 year's allocation patterns, concluded that use of the HD-ratio over that period would have meant a 47 percent increase in address consumption in the RIPE region and a 49 percent increase in the APNIC region. It was noted that if all RIRs were to adopt this policy, it could accelerate total address exhaustion by two years. It was also noted that if some RIRs adopted this policy then it could have significant impacts on the ability of smaller RIRs to get IPv4. - It was noted that current consumption rates indicate a potential IPv4 exhaustion date of mid-2012. - It was noted that when this proposal was first raised, projected IPv4 lifetime was over 15 years, however allocation rates have increased since then. - The Chair suggested moving this discussion to the policy mailing list for a further month, then leaving it up to the SIG chair to decide whether to continue or abandon the proposal. regards, Save -- Savenaca Vocea, Policy Development Manager, <save@apnic.net> Asia Pacific Network Information Centre http://www.apnic.net ph/fx +61 7 3858 3100/99 On 21/02/2006, at 4:34 PM, Geoff Huston wrote:
Hi,
I was wondering if it would help to look at the potential impact of this policy on IPv4 address consumption predictions. I have built a model of projection IPv4 address consumption based on continuity of current address allocation policies http://ipv4.potaroo.net, and it may be useful to look at the impact of using the HD ratio on this model. I'll try and get some results posted by the end of this week on a simulation of the effects of adoption of this policy proposal
thanks,
Geoff
On 2/7/06, RIPE NCC Policy Coordinator <adrian@ripe.net> wrote: PDP Number: 2005-01 HD-ratio Proposal
Dear Colleagues
The proposal to change to RIPE Document ripe-324 is now at its final stage.
You can find the full proposal at:
http://www.ripe.net/ripe/policies/proposals/2005-1.html
Please e-mail any final comments about this proposal to address- policy-wg@ripe.net before 7 March 2006.
We will publish the new policy after this date if we receive no objections.
Regards
Adrian Bedford RIPE NCC