* Nick Hilliard
The ipv4 address market will work if the market stays liquid, but 2013-03 creates an environment for full deregulation of the addressing market with almost no control mechanisms for handling problems
Hi Nick, I'd like to know: - What kind of problems are you foreseeing? - What kind of control mechanisms exist in today's policy, that are removed by 2013-03, will forestall these problems?
[There is a 24-month reallocation freeze, but I don't think this is going to work because it will not affect the reality of real world allocation transfers. Consequently, people will flout it, and then we will need to remove it from the policy mechanism because it's causing the registry function to break down.]
s/24-month reallocation freeze/requirement to demonstrate need/ Does this argument work equally well? If no, why not?
Liquidity will be generated almost entirely by existing address space holders releasing existing address space into the market. So the interesting question is: just how much slack space is there out there?
Probably impossible to answer accurately. The best indication I could come up with is to 1) compare pre-depletion allocation rates with post-depletion transfer rates, making the assumption that the actual demand has at least not decreased, and 2) compare supply with demand at the RIPE NCC's listing site. Today's numbers: Pre-depletion IPv4 RIR->LIR allocation stats (20110914-20120725): - allocations: 1980 - addresses: 36052992 Post-depletion IPv4 LIR->LIR allocation transfer stats (20120914-20130725): - transfers: 70 (3.54% of pre-depletion) - addresses: 1189888 (3.30% of pre-depletion) RIPE NCC IPv4 Transfer Listing Service stats: - requested: 15043584 - available: 225280 (1.50% of requested) Tore